Population Projections

Calculation of Population growth

Based of my research on family sizes and my typical Residential Hut designs. I have forecast the population for Woodfoordia from 2032 on wards. I have used a rate of 15 huts built per 2 years for the first 6 years and then 30 per 2 years after 2036. Population growth is 2.2 People per residence, however this may rise to 2.4/2.5 as the density of Woodfordia grows as farming technologies and techniques improve and thus the area can support a larger population. By the year 2066 the population should reach capacity at 1200 people (calculated on the carrying capacity calculator in a previous post).

As you can see from the graph below  in the first year of the Woodfordia Commune, 15 Huts will be built for 33 Residents that will arrive over the following 2 years. Prior to 2032 15 Housing Huts and 1 Community Center will be built by the current residents of Woodfordia. From 2032 on wards, as part of the Climate Refugees sustainable living education they will learn how to grow, harvest, treat and construct the Housing Huts for the next wave of Climate Refugees to come into the program.

By the year 2054 Village areas 1 and 2 will be close to fully built and construction on area 3 will begin. By 2065 all 3 village areas will be complete. 

Housing Huts have a life span of 10 years. Therefore after 2042 the first housing huts will require to be rebuilt. Just as the Housing Huts were gradually built over time, so will they need to be rebuilt. As such from 2065 on wards the Housing construction will begin to go full circle and complete the first cycle, following this even Housing Huts will need to be rebuilt at a rate of 45 per 2 years by the current Climate Refugee population of roughly 1200.